Cornelis A. Los


Biography

Professor Los was economist and senior economist of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (1981–87), senior economist of Nomura Research Institute (America) (1987–90), and chief US economist of ING Bank (1991–93). His private financial risk consultancy, EMEPS Associates, was incorporated in Wilmington, DE, USA, in 1986.

He was associate professor of banking and finance at the Nanyang Technological University in Singapore (1995–99) and associate professor of finance at Adelaide and Deakin universities in Australia (2000–2001) and Kent State University in Ohio (2001–5). In Singapore and Ohio, he contributed to the creation, design and organization of new MSc programs in financial engineering combined with newly built academic financial trading floors. In 2005–6, he taught economics and finance courses at the Kazakh-British-Technical University in Alma Ata, Kazakhstan, in two new joint BA programs of the London School of Economics. In 2007–8, he was a visiting professor of financial management at the Peter F. Drucker and Masatoshi Ito School of Management of the Claremont Graduate University in Southern California. He supervised Master and PhD theses at these universities.

Professor Los is a life fellow of the American College of Forensic Examiners; fellow of the Australasian Institute of Banking and Finance; senior member of IEEE; and member of the American Economic Association, the American Finance Association, the Financial Management Association International, the Global Association of Risk Professionals, the International Association of Financial Engineers, the Econometric Society, and the New York Academy of Sciences.

Professor Los uses advanced signal processing techniques to measure, analyze and value the non-stationarity risks of global financial markets, weather systems (e.g., for agribusinesses), and large-scale strategic investment projects (e.g., for oil and gas exploration, mining, bio-engineering and pharmaceutical companies). He actively presents and discusses research papers at meetings of international academic associations. For banking and insurance companies he does risk analysis and distinguishes between insurable, probability-measurable, Keynesian risk and uninsurable, residual, Knightian epistemic uncertainty. In 1998, he won a best paper award from The Asia-Pacific Risk and Insurance Association in Singapore for his exact performance attribution analysis of the origins and consequences of the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis and for simultaneously providing an exact solution for optimal cash overlays for global portfolio management.

One of his best experiences as an undergraduate business student was as an AIESEC (Association des Étudiants en Science Économiques et Commerciales) intern in a family-owned coal transportation business in Antwerp, Belgium, in 1973, where he had to take an active role and assume responsibility for an efficiency-enhancing reorganization, apply business theory to the process, build a network of contacts, and start to organize his own personal worldview.

He blogs occasionally about the history of accounting and finance and their enduring impact on economic and financial development, the current threat of government intervention to the liberty of the financial markets, and the meaning and importance of the 2nd Amendment of the US constitution for the defense of individual liberty.

Professor Los is listed in Marquis’ Who’s Who in the World, Who’s Who in America, Who's Who in Asia, Who is Who in Finance and Business, Who's Who in Science and Engineering, Who’s Who in American Education, and its various other editions. He is on the Dictionary of International Biography Honours List for his “outstanding contribution to financial economics.”

Education

  • BA (Hon.), Groningen University
  • MPhil, Groningen University
  • MPhil, Columbia University
  • PhD, Columbia University

Specialty

Financial Engineering

Professor Los created new M.Sc. in Financial Engineering courses, like:

  • Computational Finance (at Nanyang Technological University in Singapore)
  • Financial Market Risk: measurement and analysis (at Adelaide University in South Australia)
  • Exotic Options: financial exotics and energy and weather options (at Kent State University)
  • Real Options (at the Peter Drucker School at Claremont Graduate University in California)
  • Fixed Income (at the Peter Drucker School at Claremont Graduate University in California)
  • Financial Trading and Market Micro-Structure (at the University of Lethbridge, for Spring Semester 2010)

Awards

  • Outstanding Paper Award, The Asia-Pacific Risk and Insurance Association, Singapore, 1998
  • Fullbright-Hays Exchange Scholar, 1977–78
  • Scholten Cordès Fund, Amsterdam (2 awards), 1976–77
  • M.A.O.C. Countess Van Bylandt Foundation, The Hague, 1976
  • Lady Van Renswoude of The Hague Foundation, The Hague (4 awards), 1974–75
  • Fund of Jan de Koning, Hengelo, The Netherlands (5 grants), 1970–75

Expertise

  • financial and economic system identification
  • analysis of financial markets’ microstructures and their degrees of dynamic persistence
  • analysis of financial stress and crises
  • financial engineering
  • derivatives (futures, options, swaps)
  • exotic derivatives (energy, weather and catastrophe insurance)
  • strategic investments and real options
  • fixed income and asset-backed securities
  • global financial management (multi-asset, multi-country, multi-currency)
  • commercial and investment banking management
  • monetary and interest rate policies

Publications

    Professor Los has published 38 blind-peer-reviewed academic journal articles, 5 books, 8 book chapters, 13 conference papers, 11 trade papers and 12 interviews. He has given 8 keynote addresses. He has been an editorial reviewer for 20 academic journals and four publishing houses.

    Recently published research articles

    “Measuring the Degree of Financial Market Efficiency,” Finance India, Vol. 22, No. 4, December 2008, 1281–1308.

    “Measuring Financial Cash Flow and Term Structure Dynamics in Turbulent Global Markets,” ICFAI Journal of Financial Risk Management, Vol. 5, No. 4, December 2008, 7–37. 

    “Persistence Characteristics of the Chinese Stock Markets,” International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 17, No. 1, January 2008, 64–82 (with Bing Yu).

    “Persistence Characteristics of European Stock Indices,”  ICFAI Journal of Financial Risk Management, Vol. 4, No. 4, December 2007, 13–40 (with Joanna Lipka).

    “Long Memory Options: LM Evidence and Simulations,” Research in International Business and Finance, Vol. 21, No. 2, June 2007, 260–280 (with Sutthisit Jamdee).

    "Visualization of the Road to Chaos for Finance and Economics Majors," The ICFAI Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 4, No. 4, December 2006, 7–34.

    "Dynamic Risk Profile of the U.S. Term Structure by Wavelet MRA," International ResearchJournal of Finance and Economics, Vol. 1, No. 5, September 2006, 19–47 (with Sutthisit Jamdee).

    “System Identification in Noisy Data Environments: An Application to Six Asian Stock Markets,” Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 30, No. 7, July 2006, 1997–2024.

    “Persistence Characteristics of Latin American Financial Markets,” Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Vol 16, No. 3, July 2006, 269–290 (with NyoNyo A. Kyaw and Sijing Zong).

    “Multi-Fractal Spectral Analysis of the 1987 Stock Market Crash,” International Research Journal of Finance and Economics,” Vol. 1, No. 4, July 2006, 106–133 (with Rossitsa Yalamova).

    "The Degree of Stability of Price Diffusion," The ICFAI Journal of Financial Risk Management, Vol. 2, No. 4, December 2005, 6–33.

    “Why VAR Fails: Long Memory and Extreme Events in Financial Markets,” The ICFAI Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 3, No. 3, September 2005, 19–36.

    “Measurement of Financial Risk Persistence,” The ICFAI Journal of Financial Risk Management, Vol. 2, No. 3, September 2005, 7–33.

    “Model Uncertainty, Complexity and Rank in Finance,” The ICFAI Journal of Financial Risk Management, Vol. 2, No. 2, June 2005, 31–61.

    “Wavelet Multiresolution Analysis of High-Frequency Asian FX Rates,” International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 14, No. 2, March 2005, 211–246 (with Jeyanthi Karuppiah).

    “The Changing Concept of Financial Risk,” The ICFAI Journal of Financial  Risk Management, Vol. 2, No. 1, March 2005, 7–41.

    “Frequency and Time Dependence of Financial Risk,” The Journal of Performance Measurement, Vol. 5, No. 1, Fall 2000, 72–73.

    “Galton’s Error and the Under-Representation of Systematic Risk,” Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 23, No. 12, December 1999, 1793–1829.

    Recently published books

    Financial Market Risk: Measurement & Analysis, Routledge/Taylor & Francis, London, UK, 2003 (second edition under preparation for 2009: http://www.worldscibooks.com/economics/6954.html.

    Computational Finance: A Scientific Perspective, World Scientific Publishing, Singapore, 2000 (second edition under preparation for 2010: http://www.worldscibooks.com/economics/6822.html).

      Research

      Professor Los researches the financial-economic consequences of Knightian uncertainty (i.e., epistemic uncertainty caused by lack of knowledge) in contrast to Keynesian probability-measured uncertainty,  hich presumes the historical existence and measurability of relative-frequencies of events. His financial-
      economic modelling research is related to information-gap theory.
       
      He presented his most recent financial research paper on this topic, “Investment Modeling Uncertainty and Fair Pricing,” at the 43rd Euro Working Group for Financial Modeling (EWGFM) meeting at the Cass Business School in London, UK, 4–6 August 2008 (The EWGFM is administered by the Erasmus  niversity in The Netherlands); at the 36th Annual Meeting of the Southwestern Finance Association in Oklahoma City, OK, USA, 26-28 February 2009 and at the 2009 Annual Conference of the European Financial Management Association in Milan, Italy, June 24 - 27, 2009.
       
      He presented his most recent economic research paper on this topic of modeling uncertainty, “A Critical Re-analysis of Cobb and Douglas’ 1928 Production Model Identification,” at the Eastern Economic Association meeting in New York, NY, USA, 23–25 February 2007 and at the annual meeting of the International Atlantic Economic Society in Savannah, Georgia, 7–10 October 2007.
       
      Professor Los continues his research of the full persistence spectrum of financial markets by wavelet multi-resolution analysis (MRA) of high frequency (tick) financial market data, a complete form of space-time analysis. In 1998, using this wavelet MRA, together with his master’s student Jeyanthi Karuppiah, he discovered anti-persistence in the anchor-currency markets, thereby broadening the scope of persistence analysis in the financial markets. The objective of this analysis is to model financial market dynamics using Los (2003) cash-flow dynamics identification methodology to generate the next generation risk and uncertainty models underlying advanced asset valuation.
       
      In the process, Professor Los expects to research and develop new real-time multi-dimensional filtering techniques in an academic financial trading floor laboratory (starting in October 2010) in the new Markin Hall business school. Since 1995, the Duncan-Mortensen-Zakai (DMZ) equation for the Kalman-Bucy filtering system and Bene š filtering system can be solved explicitly with an arbitrary initial condition by solving a system of ordinary differential equations and a Kolmogorov-type equation. The new filters are expected to be used for dynamic system identification of the multidimensional global financial markets, in particular the connection between their microstructures and their identified degrees of dynamic persistence.
       
      For other financial and economic research papers, see the following websites: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=41027 and http://ideas.repec.org/e/plo23.html.

      Research areas

      • financial risk analysis
      • wavelet multi-resolution analysis of high-frequency financial trading data and financial events
      • dynamic moment analysis and stochastic filtering of nonlinear financial data
      • persistence and microstructure analysis of financial markets
      • financial engineering
      • commodity (agribusiness, energy and weather) derivatives trading
      • strategic investments and real options
      • international financial management

      Service

      • Member, School of Graduate Studies of the University of Lethbridge
      • Member, Editorial Advisory Board, The ICFAI Journal of Financial Risk Management (2006–present)
      • Member, Editorial Advisory Board, European Journal of Scientific Research (2006–present)
      • Member, Editorial Advisory Board, European Journal of Social Sciences (2006–present)
      • Member, Editorial Advisory Board, European Journal of Economics Finance and Administrative Science (2006–present)
      • Regular referee for: Journal of International Money and Finance; Management Science; European Physical Journal B; Journal of the Franklin Institute; The ICFAI Journal of Derivatives Markets; The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance; International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance; Journal of Multinational Financial Management; The Financial Review; Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money; International Review of Financial Analysis; Journal of Banking and Finance; Automatica; Empirical Economics; Econometric Theory
      • Life fellow, American College of Forensic Examiners
      • Fellow, Australasian Institute of Banking and Finance
      • Senior panel member, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)

      Teaching

        • Derivatives and Financial Engineering
        • Global Financial Management
        • Security Analysis and Portfolio Management
        • Financial Trading and Market Microstructure
        • Commodity Markets
        • Strategic Investments & Real Options
        • Fixed Income
        • Commercial and Investment Banking
        • Professional Risk Management

        Fall 2008

        • MGT 4451—Derivatives Securities (Calgary campus)
        • MGT 5200—MSc in Management (Finance) Seminar I (Lethbridge campus)

        Spring 2009

        • MGT 3460—Global Financial Management (Lethbridge campus, 2 sections)
        • MGT 4412—Security Analysis and Portfolio Management (Lethbridge campus)
        • MGT 5300—MSc in Management (Finance) Seminar II (Lethbridge campus)

        Summer 2009

        • MGT 6100—Masters Thesis

        Fall 2009

        • MGT 4412—Security Analysis and Portfolio Management (Lethbridge campus)
        • MGT 4451—Derivatives Securities (Calgary and Lethbridge campus)
        • MGT 5200—MSc in Management (Finance) Seminar I (Lethbridge campus)

        Spring 2010

        • MGT 4850—Financial Trading and Market Microstructure (Lethbridge, Calgary and Edmonton campus)
        • MGT 5300—MSc in Management (Finance) Seminar II (Lethbridge campus)

          Advising

          Academic advisors help students realize their educational and personal goals. For prospective students, an advisor can help you find the program that’s right for you, and help you navigate the admission process. For management students, your advisor can answer your questions, provide advice about registration, and point you in the right direction when you need help from other areas at the university. The Faculty of Management has advising offices in Lethbridge, Calgary, and Edmonton.